Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Orange County
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pumpkin Pie 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 84 78 84 +0 2 Aladdin's Lamp 4 57.5 2 0.80 0.5 75 80 80 +5 3 Orange County 2 60.0 3 2.40 0.0 84 84 84 +0 4 Trident King 3 59.5 4 3.20 2.0 79 79 79 +0 5 Pocket Watch 2 61.0 5 3.80 0.0 82 85 85 +3 6 New Mexico 2 57.0 6 4.30 0.0 74 76 76 +2 7 Luthuli 5 59.0 7 4.35 0.0 78 80 80 +2 8 War Reporter 3 57.0 8 5.15 2.0 78 72 72 -6 9 Gimmethegoodlife 3 58.5 9 5.25 2.0 81 75 75 -6 10 Tintamarre 3 57.0 10 6.05 2.0 78 72 72 -6 11 Apache Chief 4 55.5 11 14.55 0.5 71 72 72 +1 12 Guerilla Warfare 3 55.0 12 18.05 2.0 74 68 68 -6 13 Crescendo 3 57.5 13 23.55 2.0 79 73 73 -6 14 Ombudsman 3 58.0 14 25.80 2.0 80 74 74 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pumpkin Pie | 84 | 92 | 84 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Aladdin's Lamp | 75 | 106 | 80 | +26 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Orange County Line | 84 | 77 | 84 | -7 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Trident King | 79 | 65 | 79 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Pocket Watch | 82 | 83 | 85 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | New Mexico | 74 | 83 | 76 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Luthuli | 78 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | War Reporter | 78 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gimmethegoodlife | 81 | 96 | 75 | +21 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Tintamarre | 78 | 88 | 72 | +16 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Apache Chief | 71 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Guerilla Warfare | 74 | 75 | 68 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Crescendo | 79 | 79 | 73 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 14 | Ombudsman | 80 | 83 | 74 | +9 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points