Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: WALTER FAIRRALL CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)
Line Horse
Lake Como
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Run To Rio 4 59.5 1 0.00 0.5 65 72 71 +6 2 Danube 3 57.5 2 0.40 1.5 73 71 71 -2 3 Attaboy 2 54.0 3 0.45 0.0 62 67 67 +5 4 Lake Como 3 56.0 4 1.65 1.5 66 66 66 +0 5 Ultra Quick 6 61.0 5 1.85 0.0 68 79 79 +11 6 Beach Palace 4 61.5 6 3.95 0.5 69 77 77 +8 7 Rafiki 2 61.5 7 5.05 0.0 69 77 77 +8 8 L'Ultimo 2 57.0 8 5.65 0.0 60 68 68 +8 9 Happy Wanderer 5 56.5 9 7.95 0.0 59 67 67 +8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Run To Rio | 65 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Danube | 73 | 76 | 71 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Attaboy | 62 | 65 | 67 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Lake Como Line | 66 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 1.5 | ||
| 5 | Ultra Quick | 68 | 71 | 79 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Beach Palace | 69 | 67 | 77 | -10 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Rafiki | 69 | 67 | 77 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | L'Ultimo | 60 | 61 | 68 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Happy Wanderer | 59 | 55 | 67 | -12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points