Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Miraculous
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Champagne Kisses 2 59.0 1 0.00 1.5 81 83 83 +2 2 Lhasa 2 57.0 2 1.25 1.5 76 79 79 +3 3 Miraculous 3 60.0 3 2.50 2.5 83 83 83 +0 4 Pilot Flame 4 61.0 4 3.00 0.0 82 90 90 +8 5 October Fest 2 58.0 5 3.20 1.5 79 81 81 +2 6 Shesgotclass 3 61.0 6 3.50 2.5 85 85 85 +0 7 Maritzburg Memory 2 55.5 7 3.60 1.5 74 76 76 +2 8 Priscilla Maisey 2 58.5 8 4.35 1.5 80 82 82 +2 9 Captain's Destiny 3 57.5 9 5.10 2.5 75 78 78 +3 10 From A Distance 2 61.0 10 5.85 1.5 85 87 87 +2 11 Tokyo Princess 2 52.5 11 6.25 1.5 73 70 70 -3 12 Sweetie Darling 2 61.5 12 6.55 1.5 86 88 88 +2 13 Girl Like Us 4 59.5 13 10.55 0.0 79 87 87 +8 14 Princessontherun 2 55.5 14 17.80 1.5 74 76 76 +2 15 Japanese Rose 3 60.0 15 19.30 2.5 80 83 83 +3 99 Hope Chest 3 58.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Champagne Kisses | 81 | 85 | 83 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Lhasa | 76 | 65 | 79 | -14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Miraculous Line | 83 | 79 | 83 | -4 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Pilot Flame | 82 | 81 | 90 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | October Fest | 79 | 73 | 81 | -8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Shesgotclass | 85 | 89 | 85 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Maritzburg Memory | 74 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Priscilla Maisey | 80 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Captain's Destiny | 75 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | From A Distance | 85 | 72 | 87 | -15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Tokyo Princess | 73 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Sweetie Darling | 86 | 100 | 88 | +12 | 1.5 | - | |
| 13 | Girl Like Us | 79 | 80 | 87 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Princessontherun | 74 | 70 | 76 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 15 | Japanese Rose | 80 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Hope Chest | - | 79 | 80 | -1 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points