Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: WWW.TAB.CO.ZA MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Warm Winter Nite
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Halberdier 4 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 89 92 89 +0 2 Passage Of Power 6 59.5 2 0.60 0.0 95 98 98 +3 3 Warm Winter Nite 2 58.0 3 0.80 1.5 92 92 92 +0 4 Chieftain 3 60.0 4 1.10 2.5 99 94 94 -5 5 Richard The First 2 57.5 5 2.10 1.5 91 91 91 +0 6 Johnny Appleseed 2 53.0 6 2.15 1.5 93 82 83 -10 7 Sorceress Supreme 3 60.0 7 2.40 2.5 99 94 94 -5 8 Address The Nation 3 58.0 8 3.40 2.5 95 90 90 -5 9 Master Casper 2 59.5 9 3.90 1.5 98 95 95 -3 99 Mist In Scotland 2 52.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halberdier | 89 | 83 | 89 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Passage Of Power | 95 | 76 | 98 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Warm Winter Nite Line | 92 | 92 | 92 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Chieftain | 99 | 106 | 94 | +12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Richard The First | 91 | 87 | 91 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Johnny Appleseed | 93 | 90 | 83 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Sorceress Supreme | 99 | 98 | 94 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Address The Nation | 95 | 93 | 90 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Master Casper | 98 | 98 | 95 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Mist In Scotland | - | 77 | 80 | -3 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points