Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 29 MAY MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Phala Millions
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Samoa 10 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 60 68 60 +0 2 Phala Millions 4 54.0 2 2.80 0.0 62 62 62 +0 3 Jet Cat 9 54.5 3 3.00 0.0 55 63 63 +8 4 Dancing Dora 6 51.0 4 3.75 0.0 56 56 56 +0 5 Inafix 4 60.0 5 4.05 0.0 66 74 74 +8 6 Together Again 5 54.5 6 5.95 0.0 55 63 63 +8 7 Gimme The Flame 5 52.0 7 6.25 0.0 50 58 58 +8 8 Bregardt 4 49.5 8 6.45 0.0 53 53 53 +0 9 Si Veloce 4 53.0 9 7.45 0.0 52 60 60 +8 10 Twice As Wild 6 53.0 10 7.75 0.0 52 60 60 +8 11 Waitforgreenlight 2 61.0 11 10.45 1.5 68 73 73 +5 12 Circus Lights 5 61.0 12 11.20 0.0 68 76 76 +8 13 One Tiger 2 60.5 13 13.30 1.5 86 72 76 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samoa | 60 | 64 | 60 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Phala Millions Line | 62 | 66 | 62 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Jet Cat | 55 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Dancing Dora | 56 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Inafix | 66 | 69 | 74 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Together Again | 55 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Gimme The Flame | 50 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bregardt | 53 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Si Veloce | 52 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Twice As Wild | 52 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Waitforgreenlight | 68 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Circus Lights | 68 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | One Tiger | 86 | 80 | 76 | +4 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points