Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
White Seahorse
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
7 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Gliding Fish 6 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 72 71 71 -1 2 White Seahorse 2 57.0 2 0.30 0.0 78 78 78 +0 3 Ibutho 7 58.5 3 0.60 0.0 77 81 81 +4 4 Amor Fati 2 59.0 4 1.40 0.0 82 80 80 -2 5 Night Rocker 2 57.0 5 1.65 0.0 78 76 76 -2 6 Chinaberry 3 61.0 6 3.05 1.5 86 80 80 -6 7 Rodriguez 6 57.0 7 3.20 0.0 73 75 75 +2 8 Teriyaki 4 57.0 8 3.60 0.5 74 73 73 -1 9 Preemptive Strike 4 58.0 9 4.40 0.5 76 74 74 -2 10 Firelighter 3 54.5 10 4.45 1.5 73 65 65 -8 11 Pleasedtoseeyou 3 57.0 11 6.05 1.5 74 70 70 -4 12 Linkin Navigator 2 60.5 12 6.85 0.0 81 80 80 -1 99 Shoefella 2 61.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 99 Voldemort 6 61.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 99 Amigo 4 53.5 99 0.00 0.5 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Gliding Fish | 72 | 68 | 71 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | White Seahorse Line | 78 | 81 | 78 | +3 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Ibutho | 77 | 83 | 81 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Amor Fati | 82 | 92 | 80 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Night Rocker | 78 | 77 | 76 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Chinaberry | 86 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Rodriguez | 73 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Teriyaki | 74 | 71 | 73 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Preemptive Strike | 76 | 70 | 74 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Firelighter | 73 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Pleasedtoseeyou | 74 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Linkin Navigator | 81 | 77 | 80 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Shoefella | - | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Voldemort | - | 81 | 82 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Amigo | - | 64 | 65 | -1 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points