Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Major Master
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Chasingtherainbow 3 58.5 1 0.00 2.0 81 77 77 -4 2 Major Master 3 62.0 2 1.25 2.0 88 88 88 +0 3 Congressman 4 60.5 3 1.30 1.0 81 86 86 +5 4 Noble Hero 3 57.5 4 2.05 2.0 79 78 78 -1 5 Repetition 3 56.0 5 2.35 2.0 76 74 74 -2 6 My Bestie 7 54.5 6 3.60 0.0 77 74 74 -3 7 Jet A One 2 54.0 7 3.70 0.0 72 73 73 +1 8 Scottish Links 2 57.0 8 3.80 0.0 78 79 79 +1 9 Hoodia 4 59.5 9 3.85 1.0 79 82 82 +3 10 Scalini 2 56.5 10 4.35 0.0 73 77 77 +4 11 Hiawatha Goldberg 2 52.5 11 6.60 0.0 65 69 69 +4 12 Fibonacci 2 59.5 12 6.65 0.0 79 83 83 +4 13 Bounceback 2 60.5 13 7.05 0.0 85 85 85 +0 14 Western World 2 56.5 14 7.45 0.0 77 77 77 +0 15 Gnarly 2 51.5 15 7.95 0.0 72 67 67 -5 16 Walk With Me 3 59.0 16 15.95 2.0 82 78 78 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chasingtherainbow | 81 | 93 | 77 | +16 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Major Master Line | 88 | 100 | 88 | +12 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Congressman | 81 | 93 | 86 | +7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Noble Hero | 79 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Repetition | 76 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | My Bestie | 77 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jet A One | 72 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Scottish Links | 78 | 70 | 79 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Hoodia | 79 | 76 | 82 | -6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Scalini | 73 | 70 | 77 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Hiawatha Goldberg | 65 | 57 | 69 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Fibonacci | 79 | 73 | 83 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Bounceback | 85 | 80 | 85 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Western World | 77 | 70 | 77 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Gnarly | 72 | 55 | 67 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 16 | Walk With Me | 82 | 82 | 78 | +4 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points