Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 83 & below)
Line Horse
Trafalgar Square
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Chara Sands 3 53.0 1 0.00 2.0 68 57 57 -11 2 Masterbling 3 60.0 2 1.20 2.0 73 71 71 -2 3 Wings Of Josephine 3 57.5 3 1.45 2.0 83 66 73 -10 4 Trafalgar Square 6 58.5 4 1.55 0.0 72 72 72 +0 5 B Fiftytwo 4 58.5 5 2.05 2.5 70 67 67 -3 6 Barry Du Grond 3 60.0 6 2.85 2.0 75 71 71 -4 7 Warrior Of Royalty 4 57.5 7 3.95 2.5 78 65 68 -10 8 Ndaka 3 58.5 8 4.35 2.0 70 68 68 -2 9 Celtic Chief 3 61.5 9 4.60 2.0 78 74 74 -4 10 Professor Lupin 4 60.0 10 6.20 2.5 75 70 70 -5 11 Andy Coogle 2 61.5 11 9.40 1.0 79 76 76 -3 99 Bless Me Fred 6 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chara Sands | 68 | 70 | 57 | +13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Masterbling | 73 | 74 | 71 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Wings Of Josephine | 83 | 78 | 73 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Trafalgar Square Line | 72 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | B Fiftytwo | 70 | 68 | 67 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Barry Du Grond | 75 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Warrior Of Royalty | 78 | 76 | 68 | +8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Ndaka | 70 | 61 | 68 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Celtic Chief | 78 | 75 | 74 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Professor Lupin | 75 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Andy Coogle | 79 | 83 | 76 | +7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bless Me Fred | - | 62 | 72 | -10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points