Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: CHAMPION WORK RIDER: PHENISILE MONGQAWA MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Birthright
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Obsidian 3 56.0 1 0.00 1.5 79 74 79 +0 2 Birthright 4 59.5 2 4.30 0.5 83 83 83 +0 3 Spring Tradition 3 58.5 3 5.80 1.5 84 79 79 -5 4 Kudzu 2 59.5 4 7.05 0.0 86 84 84 -2 5 Warhawk Bomber 2 60.0 5 7.25 0.0 84 85 85 +1 6 Pocket Watch 2 58.0 6 8.75 0.0 80 81 81 +1 7 Skittles Skies 3 58.5 7 9.15 1.5 84 79 79 -5 8 Supreme Dance 4 59.0 8 9.25 0.5 82 82 82 +0 9 Super Awesome 4 56.0 9 9.95 0.5 75 76 76 +1 10 Casus Belli 3 58.0 10 11.25 1.5 83 78 78 -5 11 Safe Space 5 59.5 11 11.45 0.0 83 84 84 +1 12 Hat Trick Or Treat 2 59.5 12 12.55 0.0 86 84 84 -2 13 Robert Browning 3 51.5 13 13.35 1.5 75 65 65 -10 14 Espinoza 3 60.0 14 14.45 1.5 87 82 82 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Obsidian | 79 | 97 | 79 | +18 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Birthright Line | 83 | 95 | 83 | +12 | 0.5 | ||
| 3 | Spring Tradition | 84 | 81 | 79 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Kudzu | 86 | 80 | 84 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Warhawk Bomber | 84 | 80 | 85 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pocket Watch | 80 | 83 | 81 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Skittles Skies | 84 | 96 | 79 | +17 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Supreme Dance | 82 | 76 | 82 | -6 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Super Awesome | 75 | 79 | 76 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Casus Belli | 83 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | Safe Space | 83 | 83 | 84 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Hat Trick Or Treat | 86 | 76 | 84 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Robert Browning | 75 | 87 | 65 | +22 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Espinoza | 87 | 97 | 82 | +15 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points