Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 8 JUNE MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Micke's Bomb
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Inafix 4 58.0 1 0.00 2.5 68 68 68 +0 2 Phantom Express 4 61.5 2 0.20 2.5 75 75 75 +0 3 Together Again 5 48.0 3 0.40 0.0 54 53 53 -1 4 Micke's Bomb 4 59.0 4 0.60 2.5 70 70 70 +0 5 Lonely As A Cloud 3 59.0 5 1.40 2.0 72 71 71 -1 6 The Navy Lark 4 61.0 6 3.65 2.5 77 74 74 -3 7 In The Ether 6 59.5 7 5.90 0.0 71 76 76 +5 8 Nkandla Gold 4 58.0 8 6.10 2.5 76 68 68 -8 9 Good To Great 3 56.5 9 7.60 2.0 65 66 66 +1 10 Bridge Of Spies 6 48.0 10 39.00 0.0 48 53 53 +5 99 Captain Selvie 2 57.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inafix | 68 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Phantom Express | 75 | 76 | 75 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Together Again | 54 | 55 | 53 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Micke's Bomb Line | 70 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 2.5 | ||
| 5 | Lonely As A Cloud | 72 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | The Navy Lark | 77 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | In The Ether | 71 | 63 | 76 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Nkandla Gold | 76 | 63 | 68 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Good To Great | 65 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bridge Of Spies | 48 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Captain Selvie | - | 93 | 69 | +24 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points