Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: DARE TO DREAM RACING SYNDICATE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Klein Karoo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Late December 2 60.0 1 0.00 1.0 76 77 77 +1 2 African Memoir 3 60.0 2 1.00 2.0 - 75 75 +75 3 Nightrain 2 57.0 3 1.75 1.0 - 71 71 +71 4 Time Honored 2 60.0 4 3.75 1.0 69 77 77 +8 5 Klein Karoo 3 60.0 5 4.15 2.0 75 75 75 +0 6 In Motion 2 57.0 6 7.15 1.0 - 71 71 +71 7 Palancar 3 60.0 7 7.35 2.0 77 75 75 -2 8 Flight Engineer 3 60.0 8 7.45 2.0 66 75 75 +9 9 Kanaal Skater 2 57.0 9 8.45 1.0 - 71 71 +71 10 Future Free 2 57.0 10 8.65 1.0 - 71 71 +71 11 Big Deal 2 57.0 11 10.15 1.0 - 71 71 +71 12 Waloyo Yamoni 2 57.0 12 12.40 1.0 - 71 71 +71 13 Green Commander 2 57.0 13 12.45 1.0 - 71 71 +71 14 Inquisitor 2 54.5 14 14.95 1.0 - 66 66 +66 15 Royal Celeb 2 57.0 15 16.70 1.0 - 71 71 +71 16 Pilgrim 2 53.0 16 17.95 1.0 - 63 63 +63 17 Rare Onyx 3 60.0 17 20.45 2.0 - 75 75 +75 99 Love From Afar 2 57.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Late December | 76 | 87 | 77 | +10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | African Memoir | - | 68 | 75 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Nightrain | - | 83 | 71 | +12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Time Honored | 69 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Klein Karoo Line | 75 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 2.0 | ||
| 6 | In Motion | - | 82 | 71 | +11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Palancar | 77 | 72 | 75 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Flight Engineer | 66 | 58 | 75 | -17 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Kanaal Skater | - | 93 | 71 | +22 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Future Free | - | 89 | 71 | +18 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Big Deal | - | 75 | 71 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Waloyo Yamoni | - | 76 | 71 | +5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 13 | Green Commander | - | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 14 | Inquisitor | - | 69 | 66 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 15 | Royal Celeb | - | - | 71 | -71 | 1.0 | - | |
| 16 | Pilgrim | - | 62 | 63 | -1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 17 | Rare Onyx | - | 34 | 75 | -41 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Love From Afar | - | 69 | 71 | -2 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points