Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
B Fiftytwo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rafa's Boy 2 58.0 1 0.00 1.0 76 79 79 +3 2 Mar Del Plata 2 58.0 2 0.60 1.0 76 79 79 +3 3 B Fiftytwo 4 55.0 3 1.60 2.5 70 70 70 +0 4 Trafalgar Square 6 56.0 4 2.20 0.0 72 77 77 +5 5 Major Tommie 3 60.5 5 2.30 2.0 83 82 82 -1 6 Jet Legacy 5 57.5 6 2.80 0.0 83 80 80 -3 6 The Mask 2 58.0 6 2.80 1.0 77 79 79 +2 8 Ibhele 3 59.0 8 3.30 2.0 80 79 79 -1 9 Philispiel 7 52.0 9 3.80 0.0 72 69 69 -3 10 Warrior Of Royalty 4 55.0 10 4.05 2.5 78 70 70 -8 11 Grand Appeal 3 54.5 11 4.30 2.0 79 70 70 -9 12 Maneki Neko 2 55.0 12 6.40 1.0 70 73 73 +3 13 Black Cheetah 2 60.0 13 7.20 1.0 97 83 87 -10 14 Boom Shakalaka 2 55.5 14 12.90 1.0 73 74 74 +1 99 Trippi T 3 58.5 99 0.00 2.0 - 78 78 +0 99 Professor Lupin 4 56.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafa's Boy | 76 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mar Del Plata | 76 | 77 | 79 | -2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | B Fiftytwo Line | 70 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Trafalgar Square | 72 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Major Tommie | 83 | 94 | 82 | +12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Jet Legacy | 83 | 89 | 80 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | The Mask | 77 | 84 | 79 | +5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ibhele | 80 | 70 | 79 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Philispiel | 72 | 70 | 69 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Warrior Of Royalty | 78 | 76 | 70 | +6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Grand Appeal | 79 | 77 | 70 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Maneki Neko | 70 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 1.0 | - | |
| 13 | Black Cheetah | 97 | 91 | 87 | +4 | 1.0 | - | |
| 14 | Boom Shakalaka | 73 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Trippi T | - | 75 | 78 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Professor Lupin | - | 67 | 73 | -6 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points