Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: SUMMER CUP 29 NOVEMBER MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Storm Ahead
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Art Nouveau 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 74 65 74 +0 2 Volte Face 3 59.0 2 2.00 2.0 68 66 66 -2 3 Storm Ahead 4 58.5 3 2.10 1.0 67 67 67 +0 4 Futurewolff 5 61.5 4 2.20 0.0 73 75 75 +2 5 Circle Of Grace 4 54.0 5 3.70 1.0 61 56 56 -5 6 Chabal 3 61.5 6 4.70 2.0 77 68 68 -9 7 Hat Furious 4 57.0 7 5.10 1.0 64 61 61 -3 8 Copper Mist 2 60.0 8 7.70 0.0 70 69 69 -1 9 Kiss Of Fire 5 55.0 9 9.30 0.0 60 59 59 -1 10 Stop The Traffic 4 52.5 10 9.50 1.0 63 52 53 -10 99 Molotov Cocktail 3 62.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 69 69 +0 99 Gamer 4 57.5 99 0.00 1.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Art Nouveau | 74 | 80 | 74 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Volte Face | 68 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Storm Ahead Line | 67 | 80 | 67 | +13 | 1.0 | ||
| 4 | Futurewolff | 73 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Circle Of Grace | 61 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Chabal | 77 | 73 | 68 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Hat Furious | 64 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Copper Mist | 70 | 62 | 69 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Kiss Of Fire | 60 | 68 | 59 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Stop The Traffic | 63 | 65 | 53 | +12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 99 | Molotov Cocktail | - | 78 | 69 | +9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Gamer | - | 65 | 62 | +3 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points