Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: JOIN THE MAGIC MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Thunder Downunder
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 October Storm 2 57.0 1 0.00 1.0 - 73 6 +6 2 Magical Place 2 57.0 2 2.75 1.0 - 73 73 +73 3 Thunder Downunder 3 57.5 3 3.25 2.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Iko Iko 2 60.0 4 4.50 1.0 76 79 79 +3 5 Eternal Diamond 2 57.0 5 4.90 1.0 - 73 73 +73 6 Fleur De Ville 3 58.0 6 8.40 2.0 75 73 73 -2 7 Flight Engineer 3 60.0 7 15.40 2.0 65 77 77 +12 99 Moody Blue 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 77 77 +0 99 Digby 2 60.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | October Storm | - | 85 | 6 | +79 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Magical Place | - | 92 | 73 | +19 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Thunder Downunder Line | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Iko Iko | 76 | 76 | 79 | -3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Eternal Diamond | - | 74 | 73 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fleur De Ville | 75 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Flight Engineer | 65 | 58 | 77 | -19 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Moody Blue | - | 75 | 77 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Digby | - | 77 | 79 | -2 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points