Official NHA Assessment
Race 11: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MIDDLE STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 102 & below)
Line Horse
Nordic Quest
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dean Street 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 96 101 101 +5 2 Nordic Quest 2 59.5 2 1.00 1.0 102 102 102 +0 3 Tanneron 3 54.5 3 2.75 2.0 91 90 90 -1 4 Nordic Chief 4 60.0 4 3.50 2.5 97 100 100 +3 5 Winter Rainfall 4 54.5 5 4.75 2.5 89 89 89 +0 6 Handsome Prince 2 57.0 6 5.05 1.0 91 97 97 +6 7 Elusive Winter 4 57.0 7 5.80 2.5 88 94 94 +6 8 I'm So Pritti 2 57.5 8 6.80 1.0 100 98 98 -2 9 Southern Skies 3 55.0 9 7.80 2.0 97 91 91 -6 10 Miss World 3 57.5 10 8.80 2.0 97 96 96 -1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dean Street | 96 | 102 | 101 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Nordic Quest Line | 102 | 101 | 102 | -1 | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Tanneron | 91 | 96 | 90 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Nordic Chief | 97 | 94 | 100 | -6 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Winter Rainfall | 89 | 87 | 89 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Handsome Prince | 91 | 91 | 97 | -6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Elusive Winter | 88 | 104 | 94 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | I'm So Pritti | 100 | 100 | 98 | +2 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Southern Skies | 97 | 97 | 91 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Miss World | 97 | 91 | 96 | -5 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points