Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Green Planet
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Azzurri 4 54.5 1 0.00 2.5 74 70 70 -4 2 Green Planet 3 57.5 2 1.75 2.0 77 77 77 +0 3 Rhydian 2 61.0 3 2.05 1.0 84 86 86 +2 4 Circumbendibus 3 58.0 4 3.05 2.0 78 78 78 +0 5 Elsinore 3 56.5 5 4.05 2.0 74 75 75 +1 6 Night Tiger 5 57.0 6 4.25 0.0 74 80 80 +6 7 Street Outlaw 5 57.0 7 5.25 0.0 73 80 80 +7 8 One Liner 2 61.5 8 6.75 1.0 85 87 87 +2 9 Turbo Twenty 2 56.5 9 7.25 1.0 75 77 77 +2 10 Trippi's Silk 4 57.5 10 9.25 2.5 75 76 76 +1 11 Paratrooper 4 57.0 11 9.30 2.5 74 75 75 +1 12 Sooty 4 58.0 12 12.55 2.5 76 77 77 +1 13 Meant To Be 3 59.0 13 20.55 2.0 78 80 80 +2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azzurri | 74 | 77 | 70 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Green Planet Line | 77 | 61 | 77 | -16 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Rhydian | 84 | 72 | 86 | -14 | 1.0 | - | |
| 4 | Circumbendibus | 78 | 97 | 78 | +19 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Elsinore | 74 | 80 | 75 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Night Tiger | 74 | 67 | 80 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Street Outlaw | 73 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | One Liner | 85 | 88 | 87 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Turbo Twenty | 75 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Trippi's Silk | 75 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Paratrooper | 74 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Sooty | 76 | 75 | 77 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Meant To Be | 78 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points