Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 7 APRIL FM 77 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Queen Bomi
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Willow Lane 4 54.5 1 0.00 1.0 65 63 65 +0 2 Queen Bomi 4 54.0 2 3.00 1.0 64 64 64 +0 3 Kayla's Dream 5 55.5 3 4.20 0.0 66 68 68 +2 4 Bella Rosa 5 53.5 4 5.30 0.0 66 63 63 -3 5 Saffron Rain 3 52.0 5 5.70 2.5 59 55 55 -4 6 Diamonds n Dollars 4 54.0 6 5.95 1.0 64 62 62 -2 7 Wedding Bliss 4 52.5 7 6.15 1.0 57 59 59 +2 8 Savage Love 3 52.5 8 8.25 2.5 60 56 56 -4 9 Ms Flower Power 4 52.0 9 11.25 1.0 63 58 58 -5 10 You Deserve It 4 60.0 10 11.65 1.0 76 74 74 -2 11 Fire Flower 5 59.0 11 99.99 0.0 74 74 74 +0 99 Devilish Dancer 4 57.0 99 0.00 1.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Willow Lane | 65 | 66 | 65 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Queen Bomi Line | 64 | 58 | 64 | -6 | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Kayla's Dream | 66 | 61 | 68 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Bella Rosa | 66 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Saffron Rain | 59 | 56 | 55 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Diamonds n Dollars | 64 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Wedding Bliss | 57 | 56 | 59 | -3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Savage Love | 60 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Ms Flower Power | 63 | 61 | 58 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | You Deserve It | 76 | 67 | 74 | -7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 11 | Fire Flower | 74 | 72 | 74 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Devilish Dancer | - | 50 | 68 | -18 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points