Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

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Line Horse
Global Movement
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Serpentine Fire      3    57.0    1    0.00     1.5   77    69           69    -8
2    Terminator           4    60.0    2    1.05     0.5   80    81           81    +1
3    Global Movement      6    55.0    3    2.95     0.0   70    70           70    +0
4    Run For Cover        5    61.0    4    3.65     0.0   82    81           81    -1
5    White Seahorse       2    53.5    5    4.70     0.0   78    65           68    -10
6    Corrupt              2    59.0    6    5.30     0.0   81    76           76    -5
7    El Rey Viene         5    55.5    7    8.20     0.0   71    69           69    -2
8    Ragnar The King      3    56.5    8    8.30     1.5   76    68           68    -8
9    Future Saint         4    52.0    9    9.90     0.5   62    61           61    -1
10   Brand New World      2    52.0    10   11.90    0.0   85    62           75    -10
11   French Flame         2    60.5    11   13.70    0.0   84    79           79    -5
12   Mike's Mazarin       2    58.5    12   15.70    0.0   88    75           78    -10
13   Run The World        3    56.5    13   16.20    1.5   76    68           68    -8
14   Chinaberry           3    59.5    14   17.10    1.5   82    74           74    -8
15   Blackberry Breeze    4    56.5    15   20.50    0.5   73    70           70    -3
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Serpentine Fire 77 80 69 +11 1.5 -
2 Terminator 80 86 81 +5 0.5 -
3 Global Movement Line 70 65 70 -5 0.0
4 Run For Cover 82 70 81 -11 0.0 -
5 White Seahorse 78 81 68 +13 0.0 -
6 Corrupt 81 82 76 +6 0.0 -
7 El Rey Viene 71 77 69 +8 0.0 -
8 Ragnar The King 76 66 68 -2 1.5 -
9 Future Saint 62 53 61 -8 0.5 -
10 Brand New World 85 85 75 +10 0.0 -
11 French Flame 84 82 79 +3 0.0 -
12 Mike's Mazarin 88 77 78 -1 0.0 -
13 Run The World 76 60 68 -8 1.5 -
14 Chinaberry 82 58 74 -16 1.5 -
15 Blackberry Breeze 73 71 70 +1 0.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points