Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Fizzly Bubbly
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Golden Grey 4 60.0 1 0.00 0.5 63 66 66 +3 2 Fizzly Bubbly 3 56.0 2 0.50 1.0 62 62 62 +0 3 Bomber Bay 2 60.0 3 2.50 0.0 67 69 69 +2 4 Genteel 3 57.5 4 4.00 1.0 73 61 63 -10 5 Incendiary 3 60.0 5 5.50 1.0 - 65 65 +65 6 Cliffie Clavin 3 60.0 6 6.00 1.0 66 65 65 -1 7 Portfire 3 60.0 7 7.00 1.0 53 65 65 +12 8 Tibbott Bourke 4 60.0 8 21.00 0.5 56 66 66 +10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Golden Grey | 63 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Fizzly Bubbly Line | 62 | 70 | 62 | +8 | 1.0 | ||
| 3 | Bomber Bay | 67 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Genteel | 73 | 68 | 63 | +5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Incendiary | - | 54 | 65 | -11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cliffie Clavin | 66 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Portfire | 53 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tibbott Bourke | 56 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points