Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: DURBAN GOLD VASE (Grade 3) (For all horses)
Line Horse
Shoot The Rapids
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 King Pelles 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 112 108 108 -4 2 Holding Thumbs 4 58.5 2 3.00 1.5 108 112 112 +4 3 Ahead Of The Facts 3 50.0 3 4.60 3.5 83 89 89 +6 4 Shoot The Rapids 4 60.0 4 4.85 1.5 112 112 112 +0 5 Future Swing 2 60.0 5 6.65 0.0 117 115 115 -2 6 Nebraas 8 57.0 6 7.65 0.0 103 109 109 +6 7 Coffeeberry 5 50.0 7 13.55 0.0 72 95 95 +23 8 Mo Ment 4 50.0 8 13.80 1.5 81 92 92 +11 9 Arverni King 5 52.5 9 14.70 0.0 88 100 100 +12 10 Basie Raakvat 4 50.0 10 14.95 1.5 61 92 92 +31 11 To The Rescue 4 50.5 11 15.35 1.5 83 93 93 +10 99 Bombers In The Sky 3 50.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 88 88 +0 99 Positive Attitude 6 54.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 103 103 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | King Pelles | 112 | 122 | 108 | +14 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Holding Thumbs | 108 | 119 | 112 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Ahead Of The Facts | 83 | 110 | 89 | +21 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Shoot The Rapids Line | 112 | 117 | 112 | +5 | 1.5 | ||
| 5 | Future Swing | 117 | 116 | 115 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Nebraas | 103 | 101 | 109 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Coffeeberry | 72 | 72 | 95 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mo Ment | 81 | 93 | 92 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Arverni King | 88 | 86 | 100 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Basie Raakvat | 61 | 63 | 92 | -29 | 1.5 | - | |
| 11 | To The Rescue | 83 | 82 | 93 | -11 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Bombers In The Sky | - | 84 | 88 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Positive Attitude | - | 90 | 103 | -13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points