Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 17 JULY MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Eiffel Tower
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Birthright 4 59.5 1 0.00 0.5 83 81 83 +0 2 Prime Venture 3 56.0 2 1.25 1.0 76 77 77 +1 3 Luce Verde 2 60.5 3 1.75 0.0 85 87 87 +2 4 Eiffel Tower 4 58.0 4 3.00 0.5 80 80 80 +0 5 Bloomington 3 58.0 5 3.25 1.0 80 79 79 -1 6 The Playboy Bomber 4 58.5 6 4.75 0.5 81 79 79 -2 7 King Of Numbers 4 59.0 7 5.75 0.5 82 80 80 -2 8 Warhawk Bomber 2 59.5 8 6.75 0.0 83 82 82 -1 9 Trident King 3 55.0 9 7.50 1.0 77 71 71 -6 10 Bay Empire 2 57.0 10 9.50 0.0 80 77 77 -3 11 Master Ariano 3 60.0 11 16.00 1.0 84 81 81 -3 12 Supreme Dance 4 59.0 12 19.25 0.5 82 80 80 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birthright | 83 | 95 | 83 | +12 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Prime Venture | 76 | 78 | 77 | +1 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Luce Verde | 85 | 98 | 87 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Eiffel Tower Line | 80 | 69 | 80 | -11 | 0.5 | ||
| 5 | Bloomington | 80 | 69 | 79 | -10 | 1.0 | - | |
| 6 | The Playboy Bomber | 81 | 88 | 79 | +9 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | King Of Numbers | 82 | 75 | 80 | -5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Warhawk Bomber | 83 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Trident King | 77 | 65 | 71 | -6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bay Empire | 80 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Master Ariano | 84 | 84 | 81 | +3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 12 | Supreme Dance | 82 | 76 | 80 | -4 | 0.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points