Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: RACING TODAY MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Dowser
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mr Fox 3 58.5 1 0.00 1.0 85 79 85 +0 2 Dowser 5 60.5 2 3.00 0.0 87 87 87 +0 3 Dynalley 2 57.0 3 3.25 0.0 80 80 80 +0 4 Green Mandarin 5 56.0 4 5.00 0.0 81 76 76 -5 5 Laguna Verde 5 60.5 5 7.25 0.0 87 85 85 -2 6 Sakurajima 3 60.5 6 9.50 1.0 94 83 84 -10 7 Haarlem 3 54.0 7 11.75 1.0 76 70 70 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mr Fox | 85 | 99 | 85 | +14 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Dowser Line | 87 | 84 | 87 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Dynalley | 80 | 82 | 80 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Green Mandarin | 81 | 83 | 76 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Laguna Verde | 87 | 86 | 85 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sakurajima | 94 | 90 | 84 | +6 | 1.0 | - | |
| 7 | Haarlem | 76 | 73 | 70 | +3 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points