Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Sign Of Fate
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Shesha Ntombi 3 55.0 1 0.00 1.0 72 65 65 -7 2 Forward Motion 3 59.5 2 0.30 1.0 89 79 79 -10 3 Sign Of Fate 4 60.5 3 0.80 0.5 81 81 81 +0 4 La Maddalena 3 54.0 4 1.60 1.0 70 66 66 -4 5 Rugger Lover 2 58.5 5 3.80 0.0 77 75 75 -2 6 Among The Clouds 4 58.5 6 3.85 0.5 77 74 74 -3 7 Qhawekazi 3 58.5 7 3.90 1.0 77 73 73 -4 8 Beautiful Rania 3 50.5 8 4.30 1.0 71 56 61 -10 9 Blind Speed 2 58.0 9 6.10 0.0 78 73 73 -5 10 Izibulo 2 55.0 10 8.70 0.0 72 67 67 -5 11 Getoffofmycloud 3 56.0 11 10.50 1.0 73 67 67 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shesha Ntombi | 72 | 74 | 65 | +9 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Forward Motion | 89 | 98 | 79 | +19 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Sign Of Fate Line | 81 | 74 | 81 | -7 | 0.5 | ||
| 4 | La Maddalena | 70 | 71 | 66 | +5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rugger Lover | 77 | 79 | 75 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Among The Clouds | 77 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Qhawekazi | 77 | 78 | 73 | +5 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Beautiful Rania | 71 | 72 | 61 | +11 | 1.0 | - | |
| 9 | Blind Speed | 78 | 65 | 73 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Izibulo | 72 | 76 | 67 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Getoffofmycloud | 73 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 1.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points