Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

Line Horse
Sign Of Fate
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Shesha Ntombi        3    55.0    1    0.00     1.0   72    65           65    -7
2    Forward Motion       3    59.5    2    0.30     1.0   89    79           79    -10
3    Sign Of Fate         4    60.5    3    0.80     0.5   81    81           81    +0
4    La Maddalena         3    54.0    4    1.60     1.0   70    66           66    -4
5    Rugger Lover         2    58.5    5    3.80     0.0   77    75           75    -2
6    Among The Clouds     4    58.5    6    3.85     0.5   77    74           74    -3
7    Qhawekazi            3    58.5    7    3.90     1.0   77    73           73    -4
8    Beautiful Rania      3    50.5    8    4.30     1.0   71    56           61    -10
9    Blind Speed          2    58.0    9    6.10     0.0   78    73           73    -5
10   Izibulo              2    55.0    10   8.70     0.0   72    67           67    -5
11   Getoffofmycloud      3    56.0    11   10.50    1.0   73    67           67    -6
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Shesha Ntombi 72 74 65 +9 1.0 -
2 Forward Motion 89 98 79 +19 1.0 -
3 Sign Of Fate Line 81 74 81 -7 0.5
4 La Maddalena 70 71 66 +5 1.0 -
5 Rugger Lover 77 79 75 +4 0.0 -
6 Among The Clouds 77 77 74 +3 0.5 -
7 Qhawekazi 77 78 73 +5 1.0 -
8 Beautiful Rania 71 72 61 +11 1.0 -
9 Blind Speed 78 65 73 -8 0.0 -
10 Izibulo 72 76 67 +9 0.0 -
11 Getoffofmycloud 73 66 67 -1 1.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points