Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: 4RACING WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Amandla Ngawethu
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Palace Attack 2 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 79 81 81 +2 2 Beach Walker 2 53.0 2 0.70 0.0 - 78 78 +78 3 Bellerophon 3 57.0 3 3.00 8.5 - 66 66 +66 4 Frere Jacques 3 60.0 4 3.30 8.5 - 71 71 +71 5 Amandla Ngawethu 3 60.0 5 4.70 8.5 70 70 70 +0 6 King Bluetooth 2 57.0 6 6.80 0.0 56 81 81 +25 7 Trip To States 5 60.0 7 12.60 0.0 61 87 87 +26 8 Mystic Vision 3 60.0 8 13.60 8.5 70 70 70 +0 9 Talkoftheheights 2 57.0 9 17.40 0.0 65 81 81 +16 10 River Kitten 3 56.0 10 17.50 8.5 61 62 62 +1 11 Civil War 3 53.0 11 30.25 8.5 - 56 56 +56 99 King Of Silk 3 55.5 99 0.00 8.5 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palace Attack | 79 | 86 | 81 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Beach Walker | - | 75 | 78 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bellerophon | - | 89 | 66 | +23 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Frere Jacques | - | 76 | 71 | +5 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Amandla Ngawethu Line | 70 | 72 | 70 | +2 | 8.5 | ||
| 6 | King Bluetooth | 56 | 53 | 81 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Trip To States | 61 | 63 | 87 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mystic Vision | 70 | 66 | 70 | -4 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Talkoftheheights | 65 | 52 | 81 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | River Kitten | 61 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | Civil War | - | - | 56 | -56 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | King Of Silk | - | 68 | 61 | +7 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points