Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 15 AUGUST FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Bretty
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jambo Sana 2 61.5 1 0.00 0.0 69 85 69 +0 2 Alex Miller 3 60.0 2 0.10 8.5 67 65 65 -2 3 Bretty 3 57.5 3 2.35 8.5 62 62 62 +0 4 Ice Cap 3 58.0 4 4.60 8.5 62 61 61 -1 5 Colorama 6 54.5 5 4.85 0.0 55 71 71 +16 6 Spoil Yourself 2 58.5 6 5.10 0.0 69 79 79 +10 7 Lady Luck 4 61.0 7 5.60 6.0 68 72 72 +4 8 Beneath The Moon 2 56.0 8 6.60 0.0 58 74 74 +16 9 Miss Shaivi 4 62.0 9 7.10 6.0 70 74 74 +4 10 Courageous 4 59.5 10 7.20 6.0 65 69 69 +4 11 Duellona 2 58.0 11 8.20 0.0 62 78 78 +16 12 Dancing In Winter 4 60.0 12 9.45 6.0 66 70 70 +4 13 Tune Again 6 55.5 13 10.95 0.0 56 73 73 +17 99 Midwicket 3 60.5 99 0.00 8.5 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jambo Sana | 69 | 74 | 69 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Alex Miller | 67 | 71 | 65 | +6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Bretty Line | 62 | 60 | 62 | -2 | 8.5 | ||
| 4 | Ice Cap | 62 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Colorama | 55 | 54 | 71 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Spoil Yourself | 69 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lady Luck | 68 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Beneath The Moon | 58 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Miss Shaivi | 70 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Courageous | 65 | 62 | 69 | -7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Duellona | 62 | 58 | 78 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Dancing In Winter | 66 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 13 | Tune Again | 56 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Midwicket | - | 67 | 66 | +1 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points