Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Joueur De Flute
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Future Free          2    58.0    1    0.00     0.0   81    77           77    -4
2    Joueur De Flute      3    59.5    2    0.30     8.5   68    68           68    +0
3    Time Honored         2    61.0    3    0.60     0.0   71    88           88    +17
4    Gallic Forge         2    61.5    4    1.00     0.0   72    88           88    +16
5    Typically French     4    49.5    5    2.00     6.0   48    51           51    +3
6    From The Hip         3    53.5    6    2.50     8.5   54    53           53    -1
7    Vixeninthevineyard   2    53.0    7    2.60     0.0   57    69           69    +12
8    Blame It On Me       4    49.5    8    2.65     6.0   52    50           50    -2
9    Fear Of Fire         2    57.5    9    4.40     0.0   -     76           76    +76
10   City Of Port Louis   2    56.0    10   7.15     0.0   64    73           73    +9
11   Janneman Wat Kan     2    49.5    11   7.55     0.0   72    60           62    -10
12   Magnus The Good      2    58.0    12   11.80    0.0   81    77           77    -4
99   Chance Encounter     2    57.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     76           76    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Future Free 81 89 77 +12 0.0 -
2 Joueur De Flute Line 68 67 68 -1 8.5
3 Time Honored 71 69 88 -19 0.0 -
4 Gallic Forge 72 71 88 -17 0.0 -
5 Typically French 48 52 51 +1 6.0 -
6 From The Hip 54 56 53 +3 8.5 -
7 Vixeninthevineyard 57 64 69 -5 0.0 -
8 Blame It On Me 52 65 50 +15 6.0 -
9 Fear Of Fire - 72 76 -4 0.0 -
10 City Of Port Louis 64 63 73 -10 0.0 -
11 Janneman Wat Kan 72 54 62 -8 0.0 -
12 Magnus The Good 81 74 77 -3 0.0 -
99 Chance Encounter - 80 76 +4 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points