Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

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Line Horse
El Rey Viene
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Tommy Shelby         2    55.5    1    0.00     0.0   91    69           69    -22
2    Gotta Go Eddie       2    52.5    2    0.80     0.0   85    67           75    -10
3    El Rey Viene         5    56.5    3    2.40     0.0   73    73           73    +0
4    Rodriguez            6    52.0    4    4.30     0.0   69    62           62    -7
5    Basie Raakvat        4    52.0    5    4.35     7.0   61    48           51    -10
6    Lexican Point        2    56.5    6    5.05     0.0   73    71           71    -2
7    Shotgun Willie       3    55.5    7    5.15     10.0  71    49           61    -10
8    My Boy Lollipop      2    59.5    8    5.20     0.0   81    77           77    -4
9    Chill In The Air     3    58.5    9    6.30     10.0  82    55           72    -10
10   Riccardo             7    58.0    10   6.50     0.0   76    74           74    -2
11   French Trip          4    60.0    11   9.90     7.0   80    64           70    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Tommy Shelby 91 101 69 +32 0.0 -
2 Gotta Go Eddie 85 93 75 +18 0.0 -
3 El Rey Viene Line 73 77 73 +4 0.0
4 Rodriguez 69 69 62 +7 0.0 -
5 Basie Raakvat 61 63 51 +12 7.0 -
6 Lexican Point 73 69 71 -2 0.0 -
7 Shotgun Willie 71 66 61 +5 10.0 -
8 My Boy Lollipop 81 79 77 +2 0.0 -
9 Chill In The Air 82 82 72 +10 10.0 -
10 Riccardo 76 68 74 -6 0.0 -
11 French Trip 80 88 70 +18 7.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points