Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: CHRIS HAYNES MIDDLE STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 105 and below)
Line Horse
Karate Kid
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sheldon 6 62.0 1 0.00 0.0 102 126 108 +6 2 Karate Kid 3 62.0 2 0.25 10.5 105 105 105 +0 3 Silver Tudor 5 58.0 3 3.55 0.0 95 118 118 +23 4 The Abdicator (IRE) 4 58.0 4 4.30 12.0 95 94 94 -1 5 Cosmic Star 3 62.0 5 5.00 10.5 103 105 105 +2 6 Tsar Bomba 3 58.0 6 5.90 10.5 95 97 97 +2 99 Mojo Man 4 54.0 99 0.00 12.0 - 86 86 +0 99 Red Bomber 2 62.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 112 112 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheldon | 102 | 106 | 108 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Karate Kid Line | 105 | 103 | 105 | -2 | 10.5 | ||
| 3 | Silver Tudor | 95 | 99 | 118 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | The Abdicator (IRE) | 95 | 94 | 94 | ✓ Match | 12.0 | - | |
| 5 | Cosmic Star | 103 | 105 | 105 | ✓ Match | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Tsar Bomba | 95 | 91 | 97 | -6 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Mojo Man | - | 80 | 86 | -6 | 12.0 | - | |
| 99 | Red Bomber | - | 86 | 112 | -26 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points