Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: SUMMER CUP TICKETS ON SALE NOW FM 78 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Sunshine Day
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Valentina Balducci 2 53.0 1 0.00 0.0 82 74 82 +0 2 Sunshine Day 4 55.5 2 1.00 7.0 69 69 69 +0 3 On A Jet Plane 3 55.0 3 1.50 9.0 74 63 64 -10 4 Fair Proposal 2 55.0 4 2.90 0.0 86 80 80 -6 5 Cape Saffron 3 57.0 5 3.15 9.0 73 66 66 -7 6 Golden Aspen 6 54.0 6 5.15 0.0 66 76 76 +10 7 Can't Catch Me 5 52.0 7 6.40 0.0 59 72 72 +13 8 Heavenly Good 2 52.5 8 11.90 0.0 81 73 73 -8 9 Great Notion 3 60.0 9 13.20 9.0 79 70 70 -9 99 Saigon Suzie 3 58.0 99 0.00 9.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valentina Balducci | 82 | 97 | 82 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sunshine Day Line | 69 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | On A Jet Plane | 74 | 71 | 64 | +7 | 9.0 | - | |
| 4 | Fair Proposal | 86 | 83 | 80 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Cape Saffron | 73 | 82 | 66 | +16 | 9.0 | - | |
| 6 | Golden Aspen | 66 | 66 | 76 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Can't Catch Me | 59 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Heavenly Good | 81 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Great Notion | 79 | 87 | 70 | +17 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Saigon Suzie | - | 76 | 66 | +10 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points