Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

Line Horse
Magma Magic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Run To Rio           4    55.5    1    0.00     7.0   71    67           67    -4
2    Querari's Dream      2    51.0    2    0.50     0.0   70    77           77    +7
3    Magma Magic          4    57.0    3    1.10     7.0   74    74           74    +0
4    Master Bomber        3    57.0    4    3.30     9.0   75    67           67    -8
5    Mvelelo              2    57.0    5    3.80     0.0   74    85           85    +11
6    Mohave Prince        2    55.0    6    3.90     0.0   88    81           81    -7
7    Teatime Tipple       2    55.5    7    4.70     0.0   71    81           81    +10
8    Total Surrender      5    59.5    8    5.80     0.0   84    89           89    +5
9    World Of Our Own     3    60.0    9    6.20     9.0   84    72           74    -10
10   Record High          3    58.0    10   7.10     9.0   77    68           68    -9
11   Notable              2    61.5    11   22.00    0.0   84    93           93    +9
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Run To Rio 71 71 67 +4 7.0 -
2 Querari's Dream 70 70 77 -7 0.0 -
3 Magma Magic Line 74 81 74 +7 7.0
4 Master Bomber 75 71 67 +4 9.0 -
5 Mvelelo 74 84 85 -1 0.0 -
6 Mohave Prince 88 92 81 +11 0.0 -
7 Teatime Tipple 71 69 81 -12 0.0 -
8 Total Surrender 84 74 89 -15 0.0 -
9 World Of Our Own 84 87 74 +13 9.0 -
10 Record High 77 71 68 +3 9.0 -
11 Notable 84 84 93 -9 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points