Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Magma Magic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Run To Rio 4 55.5 1 0.00 7.0 71 67 67 -4 2 Querari's Dream 2 51.0 2 0.50 0.0 70 77 77 +7 3 Magma Magic 4 57.0 3 1.10 7.0 74 74 74 +0 4 Master Bomber 3 57.0 4 3.30 9.0 75 67 67 -8 5 Mvelelo 2 57.0 5 3.80 0.0 74 85 85 +11 6 Mohave Prince 2 55.0 6 3.90 0.0 88 81 81 -7 7 Teatime Tipple 2 55.5 7 4.70 0.0 71 81 81 +10 8 Total Surrender 5 59.5 8 5.80 0.0 84 89 89 +5 9 World Of Our Own 3 60.0 9 6.20 9.0 84 72 74 -10 10 Record High 3 58.0 10 7.10 9.0 77 68 68 -9 11 Notable 2 61.5 11 22.00 0.0 84 93 93 +9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Run To Rio | 71 | 71 | 67 | +4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Querari's Dream | 70 | 70 | 77 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Magma Magic Line | 74 | 81 | 74 | +7 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Master Bomber | 75 | 71 | 67 | +4 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mvelelo | 74 | 84 | 85 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mohave Prince | 88 | 92 | 81 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Teatime Tipple | 71 | 69 | 81 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Total Surrender | 84 | 74 | 89 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | World Of Our Own | 84 | 87 | 74 | +13 | 9.0 | - | |
| 10 | Record High | 77 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 9.0 | - | |
| 11 | Notable | 84 | 84 | 93 | -9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points