Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 28 AUGUST MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Commander Of All
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Coppola 4 59.0 1 0.00 7.0 70 55 70 +0 2 Gamer 4 55.5 2 1.00 7.0 63 52 53 -10 3 After Hours 7 62.0 3 1.10 0.0 76 79 79 +3 4 Commander Of All 2 52.0 4 3.90 0.0 56 56 56 +0 5 Panning Gold 3 58.0 5 4.10 9.0 69 50 59 -10 6 Oklahoma Twister 4 56.0 6 5.10 7.0 64 49 54 -10 7 Blurred Vision 3 59.0 7 5.80 9.0 71 51 61 -10 8 Viva De Janeiro 5 53.5 8 6.10 0.0 59 58 58 -1 9 Flag Bearer 3 56.5 9 6.50 9.0 65 46 55 -10 10 Count Your Chances 5 52.0 10 7.60 0.0 55 55 55 +0 11 Vava Vegas 5 55.5 11 11.00 0.0 63 62 62 -1 12 Copper Mist 2 57.5 12 11.10 0.0 67 66 66 -1 13 Zoombomber 2 55.5 13 15.50 0.0 66 62 62 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coppola | 70 | 83 | 70 | +13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Gamer | 63 | 65 | 53 | +12 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | After Hours | 76 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Commander Of All Line | 56 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Panning Gold | 69 | 68 | 59 | +9 | 9.0 | - | |
| 6 | Oklahoma Twister | 64 | 71 | 54 | +17 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Blurred Vision | 71 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Viva De Janeiro | 59 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Flag Bearer | 65 | 60 | 55 | +5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 10 | Count Your Chances | 55 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Vava Vegas | 63 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Copper Mist | 67 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Zoombomber | 66 | 60 | 62 | -2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points