Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: BETWAY SPRING SPREE STAKES (Listed) (Open)
Line Horse
Night Bomber
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Quantum Theory 5 60.5 1 0.00 0.0 111 135 117 +6 2 Kamensky 3 57.0 2 0.50 10.5 104 107 107 +3 3 Night Bomber 4 53.0 3 1.00 12.0 96 96 96 +0 4 Slinky Mapimpi 5 55.0 4 2.50 0.0 100 124 124 +24 5 Chyavana 3 58.5 5 5.10 10.5 107 110 110 +3 6 Cosmic Star 3 56.5 6 6.10 10.5 103 106 106 +3 7 Red Bomber 2 56.5 7 7.80 7.0 103 113 113 +10 8 Lead The Charge 2 54.5 8 9.30 7.0 99 109 109 +10 99 Espinoza 3 52.0 99 0.00 10.5 - 97 97 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quantum Theory | 111 | 112 | 117 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Kamensky | 104 | 105 | 107 | -2 | 10.5 | - | |
| 3 | Night Bomber Line | 96 | 96 | 96 | ✓ Match | 12.0 | ||
| 4 | Slinky Mapimpi | 100 | 101 | 124 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Chyavana | 107 | 106 | 110 | -4 | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Cosmic Star | 103 | 105 | 106 | -1 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Red Bomber | 103 | 86 | 113 | -27 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Lead The Charge | 99 | 89 | 109 | -20 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Espinoza | - | 97 | 97 | ✓ Match | 10.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points