Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Late December
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Black Eagle 2 55.5 1 0.00 0.0 87 69 69 -18 2 Sooty 4 56.5 2 0.20 5.0 73 61 63 -10 3 Street Outlaw 5 54.5 3 0.70 0.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Late December 2 63.0 4 1.95 0.0 87 87 87 +0 5 Green Planet 3 58.0 5 3.45 8.0 77 59 67 -10 6 In A Timely Manner 2 55.5 6 5.95 0.0 87 69 77 -10 7 Noon Day Gun 4 55.0 7 8.20 5.0 70 58 60 -10 8 Follow Your Heart 2 56.5 8 14.70 0.0 89 71 79 -10 99 Surge Of Power 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 78 78 +0 99 Paratrooper 4 56.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Black Eagle | 87 | 95 | 69 | +26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sooty | 73 | 75 | 63 | +12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Street Outlaw | 72 | 78 | 72 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Late December Line | 87 | 87 | 87 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Green Planet | 77 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | In A Timely Manner | 87 | 92 | 77 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Noon Day Gun | 70 | 66 | 60 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Follow Your Heart | 89 | 88 | 79 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Surge Of Power | - | 80 | 78 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Paratrooper | - | 73 | 61 | +12 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points