Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

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Line Horse
Late December
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Black Eagle          2    55.5    1    0.00     0.0   87    69           69    -18
2    Sooty                4    56.5    2    0.20     5.0   73    61           63    -10
3    Street Outlaw        5    54.5    3    0.70     0.0   72    72           72    +0
4    Late December        2    63.0    4    1.95     0.0   87    87           87    +0
5    Green Planet         3    58.0    5    3.45     8.0   77    59           67    -10
6    In A Timely Manner   2    55.5    6    5.95     0.0   87    69           77    -10
7    Noon Day Gun         4    55.0    7    8.20     5.0   70    58           60    -10
8    Follow Your Heart    2    56.5    8    14.70    0.0   89    71           79    -10
99   Surge Of Power       2    60.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     78           78    +0
99   Paratrooper          4    56.5    99   0.00     5.0   -     61           61    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Black Eagle 87 95 69 +26 0.0 -
2 Sooty 73 75 63 +12 5.0 -
3 Street Outlaw 72 78 72 +6 0.0 -
4 Late December Line 87 87 87 ✓ Match 0.0
5 Green Planet 77 61 67 -6 8.0 -
6 In A Timely Manner 87 92 77 +15 0.0 -
7 Noon Day Gun 70 66 60 +6 5.0 -
8 Follow Your Heart 89 88 79 +9 0.0 -
99 Surge Of Power - 80 78 +2 0.0 -
99 Paratrooper - 73 61 +12 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points