Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: #YOUCANBETONUS! NOVICE PLATE (Maidens & 1 time Winners)
Line Horse
Key News
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Final Try 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 82 84 84 +2 2 Honorable Member 3 57.0 2 2.00 8.5 94 64 84 -10 3 Key News 2 58.5 3 5.50 0.0 81 81 81 +0 4 Royal City Girl 2 54.0 4 5.75 0.0 93 72 83 -10 5 Fire Alarm 3 56.0 5 7.00 8.5 71 59 61 -10 6 James Fitzjames 2 59.0 6 10.75 0.0 74 82 82 +8 7 Polynomial 3 56.0 7 14.00 8.5 83 59 73 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Final Try | 82 | 94 | 84 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Honorable Member | 94 | 88 | 84 | +4 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Key News Line | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Royal City Girl | 93 | 93 | 83 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Fire Alarm | 71 | 70 | 61 | +9 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | James Fitzjames | 74 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Polynomial | 83 | 79 | 73 | +6 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points