Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TABONLINE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Tchaikovsky
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Faire Advantage 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 - 66 6 +6 2 Geopolitical 4 60.0 2 2.25 1.0 - 71 71 +71 3 Robert Burns 3 60.0 3 2.55 2.0 - 68 68 +68 4 State Of Shock 3 60.0 4 2.65 2.0 59 68 68 +9 5 Masterful Guy 3 60.0 5 2.75 2.0 71 68 68 -3 6 Tchaikovsky 6 60.0 6 3.15 0.0 72 72 72 +0 7 Global Movement 6 60.0 7 4.40 0.0 - 70 70 +70 8 Al Bugatti 3 60.0 8 4.60 2.0 68 66 66 -2 9 Hamlet 4 60.0 9 4.80 1.0 60 68 68 +8 10 Admiral's Ransom 3 60.0 10 5.55 2.0 64 66 66 +2 11 The Heat Is On 3 57.0 11 6.30 2.0 - 60 60 +60 12 Sudden Song 3 60.0 12 8.80 2.0 73 66 66 -7 99 Run Rudolph Run 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 66 66 +0 99 Rock On Tommy 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Faire Advantage | - | 71 | 6 | +65 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Geopolitical | - | 64 | 71 | -7 | 1.0 | - | |
| 3 | Robert Burns | - | 71 | 68 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | State Of Shock | 59 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Masterful Guy | 71 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tchaikovsky Line | 72 | 81 | 72 | +9 | 0.0 | ||
| 7 | Global Movement | - | 65 | 70 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Al Bugatti | 68 | 78 | 66 | +12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Hamlet | 60 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Admiral's Ransom | 64 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | The Heat Is On | - | 71 | 60 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Sudden Song | 73 | 71 | 66 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Run Rudolph Run | - | 57 | 66 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rock On Tommy | - | 50 | 66 | -16 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points