Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: DUNCAN HOWELLS RACING STABLES APPRENTICE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)
Line Horse
Double Olympic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dawn Surprise 4 54.5 1 0.00 11.0 60 55 55 -5 2 Double Olympic 4 55.0 2 0.05 11.0 56 56 56 +0 3 Boardwalk Breeze 2 57.5 3 1.25 6.5 82 70 72 -10 4 Golden Aspen 6 58.0 4 9.15 0.0 65 84 84 +19 5 Rhythm 2 58.5 5 9.20 6.5 71 72 72 +1 6 William West 2 55.0 6 11.90 6.5 64 65 65 +1 7 Time In Paris 4 52.0 7 12.70 11.0 55 50 50 -5 8 Lightning Jimmy 4 48.0 8 15.50 11.0 50 42 42 -8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dawn Surprise | 60 | 79 | 55 | +24 | 11.0 | - | |
| 2 | Double Olympic Line | 56 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 11.0 | ||
| 3 | Boardwalk Breeze | 82 | 80 | 72 | +8 | 6.5 | - | |
| 4 | Golden Aspen | 65 | 66 | 84 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rhythm | 71 | 67 | 72 | -5 | 6.5 | - | |
| 6 | William West | 64 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 6.5 | - | |
| 7 | Time In Paris | 55 | 61 | 50 | +11 | 11.0 | - | |
| 8 | Lightning Jimmy | 50 | 48 | 42 | +6 | 11.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points