Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Voldemort
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Turbo Twenty 2 52.0 1 0.00 0.0 73 66 66 -7 2 Voldemort 6 60.0 2 3.60 0.0 83 83 83 +0 3 Gardener's Pride 3 52.0 3 4.65 8.0 62 50 52 -10 4 Down By The River 2 60.0 4 5.05 0.0 80 82 82 +2 5 Dricus 3 56.0 5 6.25 8.0 73 58 63 -10 6 Run For Cover 5 60.0 6 6.75 0.0 80 82 82 +2 7 Chocolate Bomb 2 56.5 7 6.95 0.0 73 75 75 +2 8 Chinaberry 3 56.0 8 8.25 8.0 73 58 63 -10 9 Prince Florian 3 56.5 9 8.30 8.0 74 59 64 -10 10 Luthuli 5 58.0 10 8.70 0.0 76 78 78 +2 11 Danube 3 55.5 11 14.00 8.0 77 57 67 -10 99 Intrepid 3 54.5 99 0.00 8.0 - 55 55 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Turbo Twenty | 73 | 80 | 66 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Voldemort Line | 83 | 81 | 83 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Gardener's Pride | 62 | 63 | 52 | +11 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | Down By The River | 80 | 95 | 82 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dricus | 73 | 75 | 63 | +12 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Run For Cover | 80 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Chocolate Bomb | 73 | 82 | 75 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Chinaberry | 73 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | Prince Florian | 74 | 73 | 64 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Luthuli | 76 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Danube | 77 | 76 | 67 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Intrepid | - | 73 | 55 | +18 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points