Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: STAR FACTORY MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R60 000 Win BSA Bonus Series)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 In With A Chance 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 - - - +0 2 Wulfston 2 60.0 2 0.20 0.0 - - - +0 3 Ndabezitha 2 58.5 3 0.25 0.0 - - - +0 4 Ultimate Jewel 5 60.0 4 0.75 0.0 - - - +0 5 Ensuing 2 60.0 5 3.55 0.0 - - - +0 6 Armed Force 2 60.0 6 3.60 0.0 - - - +0 7 Political Party 2 60.0 7 3.80 0.0 - - - +0 8 Sassari 2 60.0 8 3.85 0.0 - - - +0 9 Royal Point 2 60.0 9 7.75 0.0 - - - +0 10 Powerpoint 2 60.0 10 8.15 0.0 - - - +0 99 Mutirikwi 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - - - +0 99 Future Of Energy 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | In With A Chance | - | 72 | - | +72 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Wulfston | - | 75 | - | +75 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Ndabezitha | - | 59 | - | +59 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ultimate Jewel | - | 80 | - | +80 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ensuing | - | 87 | - | +87 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Armed Force | - | 80 | - | +80 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Political Party | - | 66 | - | +66 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sassari | - | 71 | - | +71 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Royal Point | - | 75 | - | +75 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Powerpoint | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mutirikwi | - | 64 | - | - | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Future Of Energy | - | 55 | - | - | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points