Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING WEDNESDAY 1 OCTOBER MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Thunder Master
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    King Rahul           4    49.5    1    0.00     5.0   53    30           53    +0
2    Thunder Master       6    62.0    2    0.50     0.0   70    70           70    +0
3    Run The World        3    57.5    3    1.50     8.0   62    43           52    -10
4    Mighty Mac           5    57.5    4    1.60     0.0   61    59           59    -2
5    Rototo               3    60.0    5    1.65     8.0   66    48           56    -10
6    Wissa's On Fire      4    61.0    6    1.90     5.0   68    56           58    -10
7    Maneki Neko          2    59.0    7    3.40     0.0   64    60           60    -4
8    Ice Cap              3    57.5    8    4.40     8.0   61    40           51    -10
9    Prince Antonio       3    59.5    9    5.40     8.0   66    44           56    -10
99   King's Sailor        3    59.0    99   0.00     8.0   -     43           43    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 King Rahul 53 63 53 +10 5.0 -
2 Thunder Master Line 70 80 70 +10 0.0
3 Run The World 62 60 52 +8 8.0 -
4 Mighty Mac 61 52 59 -7 0.0 -
5 Rototo 66 61 56 +5 8.0 -
6 Wissa's On Fire 68 71 58 +13 5.0 -
7 Maneki Neko 64 60 60 ✓ Match 0.0 -
8 Ice Cap 61 54 51 +3 8.0 -
9 Prince Antonio 66 63 56 +7 8.0 -
99 King's Sailor - 67 43 +24 8.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points