Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING WEDNESDAY 1 OCTOBER MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Thunder Master
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 King Rahul 4 49.5 1 0.00 5.0 53 30 53 +0 2 Thunder Master 6 62.0 2 0.50 0.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Run The World 3 57.5 3 1.50 8.0 62 43 52 -10 4 Mighty Mac 5 57.5 4 1.60 0.0 61 59 59 -2 5 Rototo 3 60.0 5 1.65 8.0 66 48 56 -10 6 Wissa's On Fire 4 61.0 6 1.90 5.0 68 56 58 -10 7 Maneki Neko 2 59.0 7 3.40 0.0 64 60 60 -4 8 Ice Cap 3 57.5 8 4.40 8.0 61 40 51 -10 9 Prince Antonio 3 59.5 9 5.40 8.0 66 44 56 -10 99 King's Sailor 3 59.0 99 0.00 8.0 - 43 43 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | King Rahul | 53 | 63 | 53 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Thunder Master Line | 70 | 80 | 70 | +10 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Run The World | 62 | 60 | 52 | +8 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | Mighty Mac | 61 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rototo | 66 | 61 | 56 | +5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Wissa's On Fire | 68 | 71 | 58 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Maneki Neko | 64 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ice Cap | 61 | 54 | 51 | +3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | Prince Antonio | 66 | 63 | 56 | +7 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | King's Sailor | - | 67 | 43 | +24 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points