Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE D STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 69 & below)

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Line Horse
Royal Lytham
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Pushing Limits       3    61.5    1    0.00     9.5   66    72           72    +6
2    Lyrical Gangster     2    60.0    2    0.50     6.5   81    75           75    -6
3    Fort Red             4    60.0    3    0.80     11.0  61    66           66    +5
4    Royal Lytham         4    57.5    4    0.85     11.0  61    61           61    +0
5    Mela Strength        3    60.0    5    1.85     9.5   61    69           69    +8
6    Claude Monet         2    60.5    6    4.10     6.5   64    76           76    +12
7    Country Time         5    56.0    7    4.20     0.0   57    80           80    +23
8    Gravity              4    56.0    8    4.50     11.0  59    58           58    -1
9    Champagne Mac        4    60.0    9    4.70     11.0  59    66           66    +7
10   Mrs Shackleton       2    52.0    10   6.20     6.5   52    59           59    +7
11   Over The Atlantic    3    56.0    11   10.95    9.5   56    61           61    +5
99   Life Goes On         7    57.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     82           82    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Pushing Limits 66 73 72 +1 9.5 -
2 Lyrical Gangster 81 81 75 +6 6.5 -
3 Fort Red 61 66 66 ✓ Match 11.0 -
4 Royal Lytham Line 61 69 61 +8 11.0
5 Mela Strength 61 63 69 -6 9.5 -
6 Claude Monet 64 56 76 -20 6.5 -
7 Country Time 57 62 80 -18 0.0 -
8 Gravity 59 63 58 +5 11.0 -
9 Champagne Mac 59 55 66 -11 11.0 -
10 Mrs Shackleton 52 50 59 -9 6.5 -
11 Over The Atlantic 56 56 61 -5 9.5 -
99 Life Goes On - 54 82 -28 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points