Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 4 OCTOBER MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Fully Loaded
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Super Awesome 4 55.5 1 0.00 6.0 75 61 75 +0 2 Big Unit 3 60.0 2 1.75 8.5 84 68 74 -10 3 Fully Loaded 5 60.5 3 2.35 0.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Guerilla Warfare 3 55.0 4 4.85 8.5 75 55 65 -10 5 Bloomington 3 52.5 5 5.15 8.5 77 50 67 -10 6 Chieftain's Shield 4 55.5 6 5.20 6.0 75 61 65 -10 7 Clarkson 4 54.0 7 10.00 6.0 72 58 62 -10 8 Union Rose 3 57.0 8 13.25 8.5 79 59 69 -10 9 Sea Shanty 4 55.0 9 15.50 6.0 74 60 64 -10 10 Laughing William 5 55.5 10 21.00 0.0 75 73 73 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Super Awesome | 75 | 79 | 75 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Big Unit | 84 | 84 | 74 | +10 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Fully Loaded Line | 85 | 94 | 85 | +9 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Guerilla Warfare | 75 | 75 | 65 | +10 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Bloomington | 77 | 69 | 67 | +2 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Chieftain's Shield | 75 | 80 | 65 | +15 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Clarkson | 72 | 75 | 62 | +13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Union Rose | 79 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Sea Shanty | 74 | 71 | 64 | +7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Laughing William | 75 | 75 | 73 | +2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points