Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Ibhele
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 United Nation 3 60.0 1 0.00 8.5 70 78 76 +6 2 Barry Du Grond 3 59.0 2 1.00 8.5 68 76 76 +8 3 Ibhele 3 56.0 3 1.50 8.5 70 70 70 +0 4 Teerex 4 52.0 4 2.00 10.0 53 59 59 +6 5 Catavar 4 59.0 5 2.25 10.0 68 73 73 +5 6 Night Tiger 5 55.5 6 3.65 0.0 69 86 86 +17 7 World Pharoah 3 59.5 7 4.25 8.5 69 77 77 +8 8 Purple Powahouse 8 51.0 8 5.35 0.0 60 77 77 +17 9 Bless Me Fred 6 58.5 9 5.55 0.0 70 92 92 +22 10 Professor Lupin 4 55.5 10 5.65 10.0 61 66 66 +5 11 Mc Dazzler 2 54.0 11 7.85 5.5 58 72 72 +14 12 William West 2 55.0 12 9.75 5.5 60 74 74 +14 99 Arverni Princess 2 53.5 99 0.00 5.5 - 71 71 +0 99 Victor Rail 5 52.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United Nation | 70 | 89 | 76 | +13 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Barry Du Grond | 68 | 67 | 76 | -9 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Ibhele Line | 70 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 8.5 | ||
| 4 | Teerex | 53 | 66 | 59 | +7 | 10.0 | - | |
| 5 | Catavar | 68 | 64 | 73 | -9 | 10.0 | - | |
| 6 | Night Tiger | 69 | 67 | 86 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | World Pharoah | 69 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 8 | Purple Powahouse | 60 | 55 | 77 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bless Me Fred | 70 | 62 | 92 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Professor Lupin | 61 | 67 | 66 | +1 | 10.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mc Dazzler | 58 | 54 | 72 | -18 | 5.5 | - | |
| 12 | William West | 60 | 51 | 74 | -23 | 5.5 | - | |
| 99 | Arverni Princess | - | 67 | 71 | -4 | 5.5 | - | |
| 99 | Victor Rail | - | 61 | 80 | -19 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points