Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)

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Line Horse
Commanding
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Street Outlaw        5    57.5    1    0.00     0.0   73    80           79    +6
2    Chapbook             2    61.0    2    5.50     0.0   86    87           87    +1
3    Commanding           3    60.0    3    5.90     7.0   71    71           71    +0
4    Palace Gift          3    59.5    4    6.65     7.0   69    70           70    +1
4    Ischyro              3    54.5    4    6.65     7.0   59    60           60    +1
6    Paratrooper          4    61.0    6    6.95     4.5   72    78           78    +6
7    Bonne Bouche         2    60.5    7    7.70     0.0   71    86           86    +15
8    Sun Dazed            6    60.0    8    8.45     0.0   70    85           85    +15
9    Typically French     4    48.5    9    8.95     4.5   55    53           53    -2
10   Why Not Jackie       5    59.0    10   9.15     0.0   68    83           83    +15
11   Shifting Path        2    60.5    11   10.15    0.0   71    86           86    +15
12   Mariachi Madness     2    55.5    12   12.15    0.0   61    76           76    +15
99   Gallic Forge         2    60.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     85           85    +0
99   Givethatmanabells    4    60.0    99   0.00     4.5   -     76           76    +0
99   Trippi's Silk        4    62.0    99   0.00     4.5   -     80           80    +0
99   Good To Great        3    54.5    99   0.00     7.0   -     60           60    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Street Outlaw 73 78 79 -1 0.0 -
2 Chapbook 86 106 87 +19 0.0 -
3 Commanding Line 71 70 71 -1 7.0
4 Palace Gift 69 77 70 +7 7.0 -
4 Ischyro 59 54 60 -6 7.0 -
6 Paratrooper 72 73 78 -5 4.5 -
7 Bonne Bouche 71 67 86 -19 0.0 -
8 Sun Dazed 70 64 85 -21 0.0 -
9 Typically French 55 52 53 -1 4.5 -
10 Why Not Jackie 68 65 83 -18 0.0 -
11 Shifting Path 71 62 86 -24 0.0 -
12 Mariachi Madness 61 57 76 -19 0.0 -
99 Gallic Forge - 71 85 -14 0.0 -
99 Givethatmanabells - 70 76 -6 4.5 -
99 Trippi's Silk - 73 80 -7 4.5 -
99 Good To Great - 56 60 -4 7.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points