Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: RACING TODAY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Space Mission
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ice Dragon 3 59.0 1 0.00 8.5 - -6 - +0 2 Milan's World 2 60.0 2 1.75 5.5 71 2 61 -10 3 Geostorm 2 59.0 3 2.05 5.5 - - - +0 4 Space Mission 2 59.0 4 4.35 5.5 - - - +0 5 Storm Burst 2 59.0 5 4.85 5.5 68 - 64 -4 6 Copper Cliff 2 60.0 6 7.85 5.5 67 2 57 -10 7 Ringho 4 60.0 7 10.25 10.0 62 -7 52 -10 8 Platinum Hill 3 59.0 8 11.15 8.5 - -6 - +0 9 Stoneywood 3 59.0 9 12.25 8.5 - -6 - +0 10 Anonymous 4 60.0 10 12.50 10.0 - -7 - +0 11 Millennium Warrior 2 57.5 11 18.75 5.5 - -3 - +0 99 Russel Square 3 59.0 99 0.00 8.5 - -6 -6 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ice Dragon | - | 80 | - | +80 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Milan's World | 71 | 72 | 61 | +11 | 5.5 | - | |
| 3 | Geostorm | - | 80 | - | +80 | 5.5 | - | |
| 4 | Space Mission Line | - | 75 | - | +75 | 5.5 | ||
| 5 | Storm Burst | 68 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 5.5 | - | |
| 6 | Copper Cliff | 67 | 75 | 57 | +18 | 5.5 | - | |
| 7 | Ringho | 62 | 60 | 52 | +8 | 10.0 | - | |
| 8 | Platinum Hill | - | 57 | - | +57 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Stoneywood | - | 88 | - | +88 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Anonymous | - | 50 | - | +50 | 10.0 | - | |
| 11 | Millennium Warrior | - | 74 | - | +74 | 5.5 | - | |
| 99 | Russel Square | - | 59 | -6 | +65 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points