Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 17 OCTOBER MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Wordsworth
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Buffalo Bill 2 59.5 1 0.00 5.5 84 70 84 +0 2 Ravilious 3 52.0 2 0.10 8.5 66 49 56 -10 3 Galileo Star 2 60.5 3 2.10 5.5 86 72 76 -10 4 Halcyon 3 60.5 4 3.60 8.5 75 66 66 -9 5 Wordsworth 7 55.0 5 3.70 0.0 72 72 72 +0 6 Seattle Ripper 2 52.5 6 4.45 5.5 59 56 56 -3 7 Munchkin 5 56.0 7 4.95 0.0 66 74 74 +8 8 Piroshka 5 59.0 8 10.20 0.0 72 80 80 +8 9 Griffin Park 4 56.5 9 10.45 10.0 67 55 57 -10 10 House Of Sussex 4 49.5 10 10.55 10.0 54 41 44 -10 11 Resurgence 4 48.0 11 11.80 10.0 57 38 47 -10 12 Aadehya 4 58.0 12 13.05 10.0 75 58 65 -10 13 Casino Ace 5 48.0 13 13.55 0.0 58 58 58 +0 14 Enchanting Lady 2 56.5 14 15.80 5.5 67 64 64 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Bill | 84 | 107 | 84 | +23 | 5.5 | - | |
| 2 | Ravilious | 66 | 81 | 56 | +25 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Galileo Star | 86 | 90 | 76 | +14 | 5.5 | - | |
| 4 | Halcyon | 75 | 72 | 66 | +6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Wordsworth Line | 72 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Seattle Ripper | 59 | 59 | 56 | +3 | 5.5 | - | |
| 7 | Munchkin | 66 | 65 | 74 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Piroshka | 72 | 72 | 80 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Griffin Park | 67 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 10.0 | - | |
| 10 | House Of Sussex | 54 | 50 | 44 | +6 | 10.0 | - | |
| 11 | Resurgence | 57 | 57 | 47 | +10 | 10.0 | - | |
| 12 | Aadehya | 75 | 71 | 65 | +6 | 10.0 | - | |
| 13 | Casino Ace | 58 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Enchanting Lady | 67 | 67 | 64 | +3 | 5.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points