Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: MICHAELMAS HANDICAP (Handicap - Non-Black Type)
Line Horse
Cape Eagle
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pioneer Square 3 54.0 1 0.00 9.0 94 74 94 +0 2 Johnny The Thief 2 55.0 2 0.05 0.0 94 94 94 +0 3 Cape Eagle 7 62.5 3 0.20 0.0 109 109 109 +0 4 Field Marshal 3 60.5 4 1.20 9.0 107 93 97 -10 5 Down To Business 2 58.0 5 1.25 0.0 100 106 106 +6 5 Go Grayson Go 3 55.5 5 1.25 9.0 97 83 87 -10 7 Shoot The Rapids 4 64.0 7 1.50 5.0 112 107 107 -5 8 Corrupt 2 52.0 8 2.60 0.0 82 92 92 +10 9 Officer In Command 4 52.0 9 3.30 5.0 88 81 81 -7 10 View Of The World 3 52.0 10 3.90 9.0 85 72 75 -10 11 Celtic Beauty 4 56.5 11 7.60 5.0 97 87 87 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pioneer Square | 94 | 101 | 94 | +7 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Johnny The Thief | 94 | 95 | 94 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Cape Eagle Line | 109 | 106 | 109 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Field Marshal | 107 | 107 | 97 | +10 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Down To Business | 100 | 100 | 106 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Go Grayson Go | 97 | 95 | 87 | +8 | 9.0 | - | |
| 7 | Shoot The Rapids | 112 | 117 | 107 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Corrupt | 82 | 82 | 92 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Officer In Command | 88 | 86 | 81 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | View Of The World | 85 | 78 | 75 | +3 | 9.0 | - | |
| 11 | Celtic Beauty | 97 | 96 | 87 | +9 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points