Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 23 OCTOBER CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 75 and below)
Line Horse
Trident King
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Arlington Action 6 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 67 81 73 +6 2 Cartagena 4 54.0 2 2.50 6.0 67 69 69 +2 3 Trident King 3 58.0 3 3.20 9.5 69 69 69 +0 4 Majalun 3 50.0 4 3.50 9.5 66 52 56 -10 5 Volte Face 3 58.0 5 4.00 9.5 68 68 68 +0 6 Rosy Lemon 5 56.0 6 5.00 0.0 69 81 81 +12 7 Romeo's Magic 7 56.0 7 5.50 0.0 74 81 81 +7 8 Gold De Grace 4 52.0 8 8.20 6.0 56 61 61 +5 9 Royal Mazarin 4 58.0 9 8.30 6.0 71 73 73 +2 10 Nuclear Force 5 56.0 10 12.10 0.0 67 81 81 +14 11 Party Punch 3 56.0 11 13.20 9.5 72 62 62 -10 12 That's Magical 3 52.5 12 24.00 9.5 61 55 55 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arlington Action | 67 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cartagena | 67 | 77 | 69 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Trident King Line | 69 | 65 | 69 | -4 | 9.5 | ||
| 4 | Majalun | 66 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 9.5 | - | |
| 5 | Volte Face | 68 | 66 | 68 | -2 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Rosy Lemon | 69 | 72 | 81 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Romeo's Magic | 74 | 73 | 81 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Gold De Grace | 56 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Royal Mazarin | 71 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Nuclear Force | 67 | 61 | 81 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Party Punch | 72 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 9.5 | - | |
| 12 | That's Magical | 61 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 9.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points