Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: Hollywoodbets DURBANVILLE WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Sommerstern
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fox On The Run 3 59.0 1 0.00 7.0 - -8 - +0 2 Fast Train 3 59.0 2 1.75 7.0 - -5 - +0 3 Objet D' Art 2 59.0 3 2.50 0.0 - 8 8 +8 4 Sommerstern 4 60.0 4 4.00 4.5 - - - +0 5 Blizzardboy 2 59.0 5 5.50 0.0 - 6 6 +6 6 One Cape 2 59.0 6 5.80 0.0 - 6 6 +6 7 Day In Day Out 2 59.0 7 6.10 0.0 81 6 71 -10 8 Close Encounter 3 59.0 8 6.85 7.0 - -8 - +0 9 Supposeyou'veheard 2 59.0 9 7.05 0.0 79 6 69 -10 10 Forever Red 3 59.0 10 17.05 7.0 - -8 - +0 99 Rachettu 3 57.5 99 0.00 7.0 - -11 -11 +0 99 Caesar's Ransom 2 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 6 6 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fox On The Run | - | 110 | - | +110 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fast Train | - | 82 | - | +82 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Objet D' Art | - | 89 | 8 | +81 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Sommerstern Line | - | 79 | - | +79 | 4.5 | ||
| 5 | Blizzardboy | - | 76 | 6 | +70 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | One Cape | - | 72 | 6 | +66 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Day In Day Out | 81 | 79 | 71 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Close Encounter | - | 61 | - | +61 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Supposeyou'veheard | 79 | 70 | 69 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Forever Red | - | 69 | - | +69 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rachettu | - | 76 | -11 | +87 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Caesar's Ransom | - | 76 | 6 | +70 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points