Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)

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Line Horse
Kelp Forest
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Gimmie Rules         2    57.0    1    0.00     0.0   90    74           74    -16
2    Kelp Forest          5    58.5    2    2.50     0.0   79    79           79    +0
3    One Liner            2    57.5    3    2.80     0.0   78    77           77    -1
4    Churchillian         2    60.5    4    4.55     0.0   97    81           87    -10
5    Azzurri              4    58.0    5    4.95     4.5   78    67           68    -10
6    Green Planet         3    53.5    6    6.70     7.0   73    53           63    -10
7    Escarpment           4    60.0    7    6.75     4.5   82    71           72    -10
8    Steadfast            2    57.0    8    7.15     0.0   76    74           74    -2
9    Sir Korski           3    55.5    9    11.15    7.0   74    57           64    -10
10   Firingonallengines   4    55.0    10   13.65    4.5   72    61           62    -10
99   African Prince       3    60.5    99   0.00     7.0   -     67           67    +0
99   October Storm        2    56.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     72           72    +0
99   Spirit               2    51.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     63           63    +0
99   Victor Hugo          3    58.5    99   0.00     7.0   -     63           63    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Gimmie Rules 90 111 74 +37 0.0 -
2 Kelp Forest Line 79 81 79 +2 0.0
3 One Liner 78 88 77 +11 0.0 -
4 Churchillian 97 95 87 +8 0.0 -
5 Azzurri 78 77 68 +9 4.5 -
6 Green Planet 73 61 63 -2 7.0 -
7 Escarpment 82 79 72 +7 4.5 -
8 Steadfast 76 75 74 +1 0.0 -
9 Sir Korski 74 65 64 +1 7.0 -
10 Firingonallengines 72 69 62 +7 4.5 -
99 African Prince - 85 67 +18 7.0 -
99 October Storm - 85 72 +13 0.0 -
99 Spirit - 91 63 +28 0.0 -
99 Victor Hugo - 79 63 +16 7.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points