Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAB 4RACING APP FM 64 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Bretty
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 East Coast Girl 2 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 77 78 77 +0 2 Wishes And Dreams 2 62.0 2 1.50 0.0 84 88 88 +4 3 Bretty 3 58.0 3 5.25 8.0 61 61 61 +0 4 Preserve Forever 3 56.5 4 5.35 8.0 58 58 58 +0 4 Blind Faith 4 55.5 4 5.35 5.0 55 62 62 +7 6 Colorama 6 55.0 6 7.10 0.0 54 71 71 +17 7 Thesupernovastar 3 56.0 7 7.35 8.0 56 57 57 +1 8 Dutchess D'Orange 2 54.0 8 9.60 0.0 53 69 69 +16 9 Canford Queen 3 54.0 9 10.10 8.0 60 53 53 -7 10 Haze And Smoke 2 59.0 10 10.20 0.0 78 79 79 +1 11 Pomodoro Magic 5 55.0 11 10.45 0.0 59 71 71 +12 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Coast Girl | 77 | 89 | 77 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Wishes And Dreams | 84 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bretty Line | 61 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | Preserve Forever | 58 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | Blind Faith | 55 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Colorama | 54 | 54 | 71 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Thesupernovastar | 56 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Dutchess D'Orange | 53 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Canford Queen | 60 | 59 | 53 | +6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Haze And Smoke | 78 | 85 | 79 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Pomodoro Magic | 59 | 53 | 71 | -18 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points